2014年中国经济形势分析与预测

随着国际经济缓慢复苏，中国经济继续稳中求进，三次产业协调发展。2013年粮食生产有望实现“十连增”，前三季度工业经济增长缓中趋稳，企业赢利状况大幅好转，第三产业增加值规模和增速均超过第二产业。预计全年GDP增长率与上年持平，保持了稳健增长、结构优化的发展态势。



中国经济已告别10%左右的高速增长期，进入稳中求进、提质增效的中高速增长新阶段。目前我国仍处于战略机遇期，2014年经济将继续保持在合理运行区间，GDP增速在7.5%左右。在密切关注国际经济形势变化的同时，政府通过深化改革开放、推动结构调整和转型升级，把握好稳增长、调结构、促改革、防风险的平衡，推动经济公平、高效、可持续发展，使经济增长速度继续处于合理区间。



中共十八届三中全会已就全面深化改革开放、推动体制机制创新做出新的部署，完善宏观调控体系，建设创新型国家，加快转变经济发展方式，逐步形成统一开放、竞争有序的市场体系，进一步提高资源配置效率。







With the slow recovery of the international economy, China’s economy continues to advance steadily. Three Industries coordinate development under the domestic macro-economic control. Food production is expected to achieve ten years’ increase continually, and the industrial economy grows slow and steady in the first three quarters. The profitability of enterprises have greatly improved, and the added value of scale and the growth rate of the third industry are better than the second industry. It is expected that China’s GDP growth rate in 2013 is as same as the last year, and the development trend are maintaining steady growth and making the structure optimized.



Nowadays, China’s economy does not pursue of 10% high-speed growth, and enters in a new growth stage of mid-speed development, and focuses on advance steadily, quality and efficiency. At present, China is still in a strategic opportunity period. The economy will continue to maintain in a reasonable interval, and the GDP growth rate is around 7.5% in 2014. The government should not only pay close attention to international economic change, but also promote the economy equity, efficiency, and sustainable by deepening of reform and opening up, promoting structural adjustment, trans-formating and upgrading, making balance of steady growth, adjusting structure, promoting reform, preventing risks, to make the speed of economic growth continually in a reasonable interval.



The Third Plenary Session of the eighteen will deepen reform and opening up, promote the innovation of system and mechanism, to make the new deployment, perfect the macro-control system, build the innovative country, accelerate the transformation of the mode of economic development, gradually form a unified and open, competitive and orderly market system, and further improve the efficiency of resource allocation.Contents