广州经济发展报告（2013）

　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　摘　　要



 



　　《广州经济发展报告（2013）》是由广州市社会科学院主持编写的“广州蓝皮书”系列之一，由广州市社会科学院党组书记李江涛研究员、副书记刘江华研究员联袂担任主编，由科研团体、高等院校和政府部门的专家学者共同撰写的关于广州宏观经济分析预测及相关重要专题研究的权威著作。本书分为总报告、产业经济、区域经济、其他专题研究等四部分，共收录研究报告或论文20篇。



　　2012年广州经济增长呈现放缓态势，完成地区生产总值13551.21亿元，增长10.5%，增速较上年回落0.8个百分点。展望2013年，全球经济可望实现3%左右的增长，但经济增长动力依然偏弱，仍面临着部分国家主权债务危机、全球流动性泛滥、大宗商品价格波动、地区形势动荡等风险；而我国将实施积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策，加快产业结构战略性调整，积极稳妥推进城镇化，继续深化经济体制改革和扩大开放，经济有望保持平稳增长，但产能相对过剩、企业成本上升、创新能力不足、潜在金融风险、资源环境制约等问题仍然突出。综合考虑各方面因素影响，经课题组构建的模型测算，预计广州2013年生产总值增长10.6%左右。



 



 



　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　Abstract



 



　　Annual Report on Economic Development of Guangzhou (2013), one
volume of the Blue Book Series compiled by the Guangzhou Academy of Social
Sciences (GZASS), is an authoritative publication on the analysies and of
Guangzhou’s economy as well as related study of the vital
subjects. This book, with professor Li Jiangtao and Liu
Jianghua, president & deputy president of GZASS, as the chief editor,
embodies the newest achievements of experts and scholars in research
institutes, universities, and government departments. This research includes four parts: general report, industrial economy, regional
economy, special report etc.It contains 20 reports or theses in all.



　　In 2012，Guangzhou’s
economic growth slowed down.Annual economy grew at a rate of 10.5%,
which is lower than the growth rate of 2011 about 0.8
percentage points，GDP reached 1.355 trillion yuan. looking forward to 2013，the global economy is expected to achieve an increase of about 3%，but growth momentum remains weak, and still facing some risks，such as the sovereign debt crisis, global liquidity flooding,
volatility of commodity prices and regional upheaval etc.;
China will implement a proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy,
accelerate the strategic adjustment of industrial structure, actively and
steadily promote urbanization, and continue to deepen economic reform and
expanding opening. the economy of China is expected to maintain a
steady growth, but some problems are still serious，such as relative overcapacity,
rise in the cost of operating, lack of innovative capacity, potential financial
risks, resources and environmental constraints etc. Considering various factors, and estimated by the Research Group’s
model, Guangzhou’s GDP is expected to grow at a rate about 10.6%
in 2013.