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预期、有偏性预期及其形成机制:宏观经济学的进展与争议

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作者

钟春平
田敏

参考文献 查看全部 ↓
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预期、有偏性预期及其形成机制:宏观经济学的进展与争议

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章节目录

  • 一 问题的起源
  • 二 预期的重要性及理论根源——预期设定的变化与宏观经济学的变革与发展
    1. (一)理性预期模型的建立及“理性预期革命”
    2. (二)宏观经济学的演变与预期假设
    3. (三)搜寻匹配理论中的预期和信息解释
  • 三 预期的偏差及有偏性检验:有偏性预期的经验争论
    1. (一)预期有偏性检验的数据来源
    2. (二)不同决策者预期的有偏性检验
    3. (三)不同宏观经济变量预期的有偏性检验
  • 四 预期的形成机制——经验进展与理论挑战
  • 五 学习理论、信息刚性与预期偏差的根源:预期形成机制的新进展
    1. (一)学习理论与预期偏差
    2. (二)信息刚性理论与预期偏差
    3. (三)噪声信息、理性疏忽与有偏性预期
  • 六 预期偏差对宏观经济波动的影响:潜在的解释能力
  • 七 基于预期偏差的宏观理论模型及宏观经济政策:初步进展
    1. (一)存在适应性学习预期的最优财政货币政策及其效应
    2. (二)存在信息刚性问题的最优货币政策及其效应
  • 八 预期及有偏性:观点与展望

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