论文

巴基斯坦安全形势对中巴经济走廊的影响

摘要

自2015年签署中巴经济走廊备忘录以来,中巴之间深厚的友谊已经进入经济深度合作与两国水乳交融的新时代。这是中国首次有意在巴基斯坦进行巨额投资,面临较为复杂的安全环境。中巴经济走廊建设开始一度被许多人解读为大国战略方案,巴基斯坦因而具备了区域经济枢纽的地位。该项目遂成为引发巴基斯坦内外敌对势力焦虑的根源。本文即尝试讨论巴基斯坦政治和安全动态并评估其对中巴经济走廊的影响。本文认为:政治和安全变化不会干扰巴基斯坦与中巴经济走廊相关的活动。少数区域政治团体可能会因其政治利益对中巴经济走廊继续持批评态度,跨国恐怖组织和地方民族主义异见者在外部敌对情报机构的支持下也可能会给中巴经济走廊制造安全威胁,但这些挑战都足以应对,并且随着时代的发展会逐渐消失。中巴经济走廊会间接帮助巴基斯坦改善其安全态势,并使其政情走向以经济发展为核心的政治态势。本文亦认为中巴经济走廊建设已经制度化,成为巴基斯坦的举国共识。

作者

〔巴基斯坦〕穆罕默德·纳瓦兹汗 穆罕默德·纳瓦兹汗,伊斯兰堡政策研究所(Islamabad Policy Research Institute,IPRI)研究员,研究方向为南亚安全动态、战略问题和地区发展,尤其关注中巴经济走廊、反激进主义
库拉姆·阿巴斯

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巴基斯坦安全形势对中巴经济走廊的影响

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