章节

拉美经济:低位复苏

摘要

拉美和加勒比地区在经历了2021年经济大幅反弹之后,2022年经济有望继续保持复苏,经济增长预计为2.7%。2023年拉美和加勒比地区将面临更为复杂的国内外环境。从外部来看,全球经济增速预计将进一步放缓,拉美和加勒比地区的外部需求减弱,流入该地区的外资以及侨汇收入将会减少。同时全球金融环境趋紧、地缘政治紧张局势加剧,拉美和加勒比地区金融风险上升。从内部来看,国内通胀压力持续加大,各国货币政策同步收紧,而财政压力的加大也使得各国政府财政刺激力度减弱。乌克兰危机造成全球地缘政治风险上升,能源危机、粮食危机、全球供应链中断风险等因素也将不可避免地对拉美和加勒比地区造成冲击。2023年拉美和加勒比地区经济增速将会有所放缓,复苏进程仍面临多重挑战。

作者

熊爱宗 ,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所全球治理研究室副研究员,研究方向:国际金融、新兴市场。
Xiong Aizong

参考文献 查看全部 ↓
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拉美经济:低位复苏

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章节目录

  • 一 2021年至2022年上半年经济情况
    1. (一)经济大幅反弹
    2. (二)通胀压力居高不下
    3. (三)就业市场缓慢复苏
    4. (四)货币贬值压力加大
    5. (五)外部环境有所好转
    6. (六)货币政策持续收紧
    7. (七)财政压力依然存在
  • 二 主要国家经济形势
    1. (一)巴西
    2. (二)墨西哥
    3. (三)阿根廷
    4. (四)委内瑞拉
  • 三 乌克兰危机对拉美经济的影响
  • 四 拉美地区经济形势展望

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