社会科学文献出版社 2019-04出版

股票市场收益率的可预测性:基于中国股票市场的实证研究(英文版)

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The objective of this book questions the predictability of equity market performance in China. Specifically, it questions whether predictor variables, including those under macroeconomic, sentiment, and technical categories are able to predict and affect differences in the behaviour of domestic equity markets. The research approach is based on a quantitative approach using statistical tests well documented in the literature. A naturally deductive research process emerged as the methodological paradigm of choice in this instance. Primarily an empirical approach was selected and ultimately the study examined the return performance of a population of 3 equity market indices in China based on 43 predictor variables. This book therefore serves several markets. It is appropriate for academic researchers who are looking for Chinese equity data and methodologies to conduct empirical research on return predictability and trading strategies. It also helps policy-makers to better understand the functioning of different Chinese equity markets when making related policies. Practitioners involved in the Chinese equity markets will find the book useful as well.
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ISBN:978-7-5201-4479-7总页码:364
字数: 370千字装帧:平装
内容简介
本书主要关注模型不稳定情况下中国股票市场表现的可预测性。书中考察了模型不稳定情况下中国股市(沪深两市)下行行为和股市收益率可预测性的统计和经济意义。研究发现具有统计上显著效应的预测变量在构建市场择机策略时并非能够产生超额回报,研究认为模型不稳定性是投资风险的重要来源,会显著影响收益的可预测性,从而影响投资者的长期财富。因此在进行资产配置时必须考虑模型存在不稳定的可能。

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