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人口老龄化与碳排放:劳动供给与消费模式的影响 专著;能源经济学;大气污染防治工程;老年社会学;中国 VIP

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朱勤   社会科学文献出版社  2018-09 出版
ISBN:978-7-5201-3314-2

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图书简介 目录 参考文献 音频 视频
本书在人口老龄化背景下考察人口年龄结构变动对中国能源消费及其碳排放的影响,运用因素分解分析、回归分析、静态比较分析、一般均衡分析及CGE 建模等方法,定量测度人口老龄化通过劳动供给、居民消费等变动所产生的经济、能源及环境效应,为人口与可持续发展相关决策提供实证依据。
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  • 编委会
  • 第一章 绪论
    1. 一 问题的提出
    2. 二 研究现状述评
    3. 三 研究内容、思路与方法
    4. 四 研究意义
    5. 五 章节组织
  • 第二章 中国人口年龄结构与可持续发展
    1. 一 人口与可持续发展的理念与行动
    2. 二 中国人口年龄结构变动特征
    3. 三 人口老龄化对社会发展的挑战
    4. 四 人口结构与资源环境可持续发展
  • 第三章 城乡人口老龄化影响因素的分解分析
    1. 一 人口老龄化的“城乡倒置”
    2. 二 概念、方法与数据
    3. 三 年龄结构变动的因素分解结果与分析
    4. 四 对老龄化影响因素的讨论
    5. 五 结论与政策含义
  • 第四章 人口老龄化对城乡居民消费的影响
    1. 一 人口年龄结构与消费模式研究回顾
    2. 二 城乡居民年龄别消费模式测度
    3. 三 人口老龄化对城乡居民消费的影响测度
    4. 四 讨论
    5. 五 结论与政策含义
  • 第五章 城乡居民消费对碳排放影响的分解分析
    1. 一 城镇化与碳排放研究回顾
    2. 二 包含人口城乡结构的碳排放分解模型
    3. 三 数据与分解结果
    4. 四 对分解结果的分析
    5. 五 结论与政策含义
  • 第六章 人口老龄化背景下劳动供给的变动及其经济影响
    1. 一 人口老龄化与劳动供给研究回顾
    2. 二 模型、方法与数据
    3. 三 劳动供给趋势分析
    4. 四 CGE模拟及结果分析
    5. 五 不确定性讨论
    6. 六 结论与政策含义
  • 第七章 劳动力变动对碳排放的影响:一般均衡分析
    1. 一 引言
    2. 二 一般均衡描述
    3. 三 能源消费的老龄化弹性解析式推导
    4. 四 能源消费的老龄化弹性分析
    5. 五 数值模拟及敏感性分析
    6. 六 结论与讨论
    7. 附录 本章符号术语
  • 第八章 劳动力变动对碳排放的影响:基于全球CGE模型
    1. 一 引言
    2. 二 GRACE模型的原理与结构
    3. 三 情景设置与数据描述
    4. 四 结果与分析
    5. 五 结论与讨论
  • 第九章 人口老龄化对碳排放的影响:基于全球CGE模型
    1. 一 引言
    2. 二 方法与模型
    3. 三 数据与情景设置
    4. 四 结果与分析
    5. 五 讨论
    6. 六 结论
  • 第十章 结论、对策与展望
    1. 一 主要发现与结论
    2. 二 政策含义
    3. 三 对策建议
    4. 四 不足与展望
  • 附录1 联合国人口预测的假设条件有待商榷
  • 附录2 中国人口学家参与气候变化研究的障碍
  • 后记
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